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UN should account for doomsday forecast 30 years ago

September 10, 2019

YEN MAKABENTA

First word

I REMEMBER the year 1989 well because it was a time of tumult in the Philippines and the world.

At the time, I was serving as editor in chief and associate publisher of the daily newspaper Philippine Daily Globe.

The work kept me awake all day to follow what was happening in the country and the world.

In 1989, the tumult behind the Iron Curtain burst out in earnest; it would culminate in the color revolutions in all of Eastern Europe and in the collapse of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) in 1990. The collapse of communism meant also the end of the Cold War. In the movies, James Bond suddenly became old.

In December 1989, then-Col. Gringo Honasan staged his nearly successful coup against the government of President Corazon Aquino, which plunged the Philippines for a time into darkness and confusion.

In 1989, the United Nations (UN) quietly detonated its forecast that planet Earth had only 10 years to go before it imploded on account of global warming. In doing so, the world body rained down grim tidings on a hapless humanity, even forecasting the disappearance of entire countries. This report forced me to sit up at my desk: The Philippines could be one of the countries that would be drowned by the rising sea levels.

It is now exactly 30 years since that eventful year. Mercifully, mankind and planet Earth are still alive and kicking. Communism is banished. And the Philippines is much better than the sick man everyone used to speak of in patronizing tones.

On September 23, the UN will convene its umpteenth Climate Action Summit in New York City to dramatize the urgency of combating climate change and averting climate apocalypse.

Before UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres says one more word about the UN’s climate forecast, I believe the world should present him a bill for all the wrong predictions about the climate that the UN made 30 years ago and continues to foist on the world. It is time for a reckoning.

UN prediction of global disaster in 1989

To show what the UN must account for, l am reprinting here the report of the Associated Press on the UN’s forecast of global disaster in 1989.

The report, written by Peter James Spielmann, was issued on June 30, 1989, with the headline, “UN predicts global disaster.”

This is what Spielmann wrote:

“A senior UN environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.

“Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of eco- refugees,′ threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the UN Environment Program, or UNEP.

“He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.

“As the warming melts polar icecaps, ocean levels will rise by up to three feet, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations, Brown told the Associated Press in an interview.

“Coastal regions will be inundated; one-sixth of Bangladesh could be flooded, displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply, according to a joint UNEP and US Environmental Protection Agency study.

“Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?’ he said.

“UNEP estimates it would cost the United States at least $100 billion to protect its east coast alone.

“Shifting climate patterns would bring back 1930s Dust Bowl conditions to Canadian and US wheat lands, while the Soviet Union could reap bumper crops if it adapts its agriculture in time, according to a study by UNEP and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.

“Excess carbon dioxide is pouring into the atmosphere because of humanity’s use of fossil fuels and burning of rain forests, the study says. The atmosphere is retaining more heat than it radiates, much like a greenhouse.

“The most conservative scientific estimate that the Earth’s temperature will rise 1 to 7 degrees Celsius in the next 30 years, said Brown.

“The difference may seem slight, he said, but the planet is only 9 degrees warmer now than during the 8,000-year Ice Age that ended 10,000 years ago.

“Brown said if the warming trend continues, ‘the question is will we be able to reverse the process in time? We say that within the next 10 years, given the present loads that the atmosphere has to bear, we have an opportunity to start the stabilizing process.’

“He said even the most conservative scientists ‘already tell us there’s nothing we can do now to stop a … change’ of about 3 degrees.

“‘Anything beyond that, and we have to start thinking about the significant rise of the sea levels … we can expect more ferocious storms, hurricanes, wind shear, dust erosion.’

“He said there is time to act, but there is no time to waste.

“UNEP is working toward forming a scientific plan of action by the end of 1990, and the adoption of a global climate treaty by 1992. In May, delegates from 103 nations met in Nairobi, Kenya — where UNEP is based — and decided to open negotiations on the treaty next year.

“Nations will be asked to reduce the use of fossil fuels, cut the emission of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases such as methane and fluorocarbons, and preserve the rain forests.”

This would lead eventually to the Kyoto Protocol and the Paris Accord.

Mother of doomsday scenarios

I am not alone in monitoring what the UN has been doing during the past three decades in pursuit of its climate agenda.

Other climate skeptics, including top climate scientists, and major writers have been doing the same. They have published statements rejecting the UN’s climate change reports and its climate agenda. I have continuously written on their articles over the last two years to keep readers posted on the debate between the climate alarmists and climate skeptics.

One skeptic, Daniel Hunter, came up with the idea of demanding from the UN an accounting for its wrong predictions and fear mongering. He wrote the following comment on Fox News this week:

“Global warming is the mother of all doomsday scenarios. It blew away other environmental issues like candles on a cake….

“Thirty years ago this week, the United Nations issued a global warming report that I distinctly remember. It predicted worldwide disaster…

“[H]ere we are 30 years later, and I look back at that 1989 report, I think only this: What happened?

“The predictions in the report were not just a bit ‘off’ — like my calculations in my high school math class, my understanding of Shakespeare, or my failed attempt to high jump. The UN report was flat-out wrong. It was 100 percent, complete opposite, 180-degree wrong.

“Can I get an explanation, please?

“[The] UN has a 30-year track record of being wrong on this issue, so I take its reports on climate change and ‘we have 12 years left’ with a grain of salt the size of the Maldives.”

yenmakabenta@yahoo.com

Credit belongs to : www.manilatimes.net

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