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China manufacturing grows in December

JMEV electric vehicle production line in Nanchang
Employees work on an electric vehicle (EV) production line during an organised media tour to a factory under Jiangling Group Electric Vehicle (JMEV), in Nanchang, Jiangxi province, China May 22, 2024. REUTERS/Kevin Krolicki/File Photo 

BEIJING — China’s manufacturing activity expanded in December for the third month in a row, official data showed on Tuesday, as leaders fight to reverse a slowdown in the world’s No. 2 economy.

The country has struggled to climb out of a slump fueled by a property market crisis, weak consumption and soaring government debt.

China’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) — a key measure of industrial output — was 50.1 in December, marking a third consecutive month of expansion, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

Tuesday’s figure was lower than Bloomberg analysts’ prediction of 50.2, but still above 50, which indicates an expansion in manufacturing activity.

A reading below that shows a contraction.

The key indicator slid for six months in the middle of the year before returning to expansion territory in October.

Beijing has unveiled a string of aggressive measures in recent months aimed at bolstering growth, including cutting interest rates, canceling restrictions on homebuying and easing the debt burden on local governments.

But economists have warned that more direct fiscal stimulus aimed at shoring up domestic consumption is needed to restore full health in China’s economy, which has struggled to fully recover since the Covid-19 pandemic.

The nonmanufacturing PMI, which measures activity in the service sector, came in at 52.2 in December, up from 50.0 in November.

“The official PMIs suggest that the economy gained momentum in December, driven by faster growth in the services and construction sectors,” Gabriel Ng of Capital Economics wrote in a note to clients Tuesday.

“Increased policy support toward the end of the year has clearly provided a near-term boost to growth,” Ng wrote.

Ng noted that export orders, in particular, rose to a four-month high in December, “probably helped by US importers ramping up orders in advance of potential Trump tariffs.”

Beijing is aiming for an official national growth target this year of around 5 percent, a goal officials have expressed confidence in achieving but which many economists believe it will narrowly miss.

The International Monetary Fund expects China’s economy to grow by 4.8 percent this year and 4.5 percent next year.

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